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Although LED upstream and downstream manufacturers are actively expanding production, as the application market continues to expand, small and medium-sized backlights for LED applications have jumped to the mainstream, and LEDNB backlight penetration is expected to increase significantly in 2008. LED industry pointed out that the blue LED die is still out of stock in the first half of 2008, because the production capacity can not be quickly replenished, and the market demand is still high-grade, compared with the past LED annual decline of 30%, it is estimated that the 2008 LED offer will remain Strong and stable, the white LED drop will be reduced to about 20%.
According to the WitsView survey, as the demand for NB white LEDs continues to increase, but the suppliers are still dominated by Toyota Oscar (ToyodaGosei) and Nichia (Nichia), the second half of 2007 will be in short supply, LEDs remain relatively high price The unit price is maintained at around $0.20; if the unit price applied to the phone backlight is $0.10, the high-power lighting application is $2.40.
It is pointed out that Taiwan's LED is only about 70% of the price quoted by Japanese manufacturers. In terms of the quotation of NB backlights, the foreign big manufacturers are about 0.2 US dollars, and the Taiwanese manufacturers are quoting about 0.14 US dollars. The lower price of mobile phone backlights has more price. The advantage is only about $0.06~0.07, and the lighting application is about $1.80 each.
Taiwan's LED industry said that the Japanese manufacturers in order to suppress Taiwanese LED rivals to seize the market, so that blue LEDs once shouted in early 2007, the decline from January to September reached 30%, until the second half of the year gradually stabilized, although the LED industry recently passed Concerns about the imbalance of production capacity, but the industry is still there, due to the optimistic development trend of LED applications, coupled with the high cost of large Japanese manufacturers, it is estimated that the price of falling prices is limited.
LED industry believes that 2008 will be the year of LEDNB application. Although the output is in short supply, under the low cost competition of CCFL, LED will replace CCFL as the main solution for backlight. The price still needs to continue to drop, but the price reduction can be reduced. Hope to control about 20%.
As for the mobile phone backlight of LED's largest application market, as the market tends to mature, it is expected that the decline in 2008 will be about 30%, and it will remain at the price reduction level over the years, but the low-end LED application market such as traditional Christmas lights is under the competition of mainland manufacturers. The quotation is likely to fall by a thousand miles, and the decline may reach 4 to 50%.
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