According to Gartner, a global leader in information technology research and consulting, global semiconductor revenues are expected to reach $451 billion in 2018, an increase of 7.5% from $417 billion in 2017. This figure has almost doubled from Gartner’s 4% growth rate forecast in October 2017. Li Fubang, chief research analyst at Gartner, said: "The memory market has started to improve since the second half of 2016, with growth throughout 2017 and is expected to continue into 2018, providing a strong driving force for semiconductor revenue growth. Compared with last October's forecast. In contrast, Gartner increased its semiconductor revenue forecast by US$23.6 billion in 2018, of which the memory market accounted for 19.5 billion. Both the price of dynamic random access memory (DRAM) and storage flash memory (NAND Flash) increased, which also contributed to the entire semiconductor market. The outlook is more promising." However, for smartphones, personal computers (PCs) and servers, which are the major system manufacturers that drive demand for semiconductors, rising memory prices will put pressure on their profits. Gartner expects the shortage of parts and the increase in bill of materials (BOM) cost will inevitably lead manufacturers to increase the average selling price (ASP), which will eventually cause the entire market to change repeatedly in 2018. Although Gartner raised its forecast for 2018, the quarterly growth rate is expected to return to a more normal mode. In the first quarter, there will be a continuous decline in the mid-single digit, followed by the recovery in the second and third quarters and gradually Going higher, there was a slight decline in the fourth quarter. In addition, all microprocessor vendors that came out on January 3 this year have experienced security breaches, affecting almost all types of personal and data center computing devices. Although this kind of security loophole is little-known and difficult to break, the possible large-scale security impact cannot be ignored and must be prevented and controlled. Gartner research director Alan Priestley pointed out: "The current solution is to update the firmware and software, but this may affect the performance of the processor and lead to an increase in demand for high-performance data center processors in the short term. In a word, Gartner expects that the microprocessor architecture will be redesigned to reduce the performance impact of software vulnerability prevention and reduce the long-term impact that may occur." If the memory is excluded, Gartner expects the growth rate of the semiconductor market in 2018 to be reduced from 9.4% in 2017 to 4.6%. FPGAs, optoelectronics, ASICs, and non-optical sensors are used in various semiconductor components. The fastest growing (nonoptical sensor). Another major component category driving the rise in semiconductor revenue in 2018 is the Application Specific Standard Product (ASSP). Previous factors affecting ASSP's forecasted growth value include the positive outlook for graphics cards used in gaming PCs and high-performance computing applications, the significant increase in automotive storage information, and the more positive predictions for wired communications. Li Zaibang said: "In recent years, semiconductor manufacturers have been in good times and bad times, which remind us that the memory market has a volatile nature. Since 2017 22.2% growth, global semiconductor revenue will return to single-digit growth in 2018, to The storage market will even enter the correction period in 2019, and revenue will therefore decline slightly."
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